On Thursday, September 26, 2002, at 08:22 PM, Harry Pasternak wrote:
Here's what is happening - folks are now developing exactly what I am
describing. What they are doing is developing software which will
'look' for a hand - and then for a hand going in a specific path - as
defined by a submitted video or other input.
I know, one of my colleagues worked with a spin off company out of MIT
that was one of dozens developing these technologies. As it stands
now, it is very very unreliable (verging on pointless) in real world
situations. I know it will get better. However, beyond certain
industries (ie medicine - which alone would make this technology worth
while) it has a very limited application. Why? For the exact reason I
stated; it cannot understand "context".
Contextual meta data is vitally important to the usefulness of
information. At the moment and for the foreseeable future, it will be
a labour intensive job to provide context to bits and bytes. As such,
there are VERY useful projects and work that could be undertaken today
using what QuickTime has to offer. And as Charles mentioned most have
not even used 1% of the meta data abilities that QuickTime offers,
which far put strip what is possible with any other wildly distributed
and freely available product.
<rant>
I am sometimes shocked and bewildered at the the lamentation of
QuickTime (I know this is not the case on this particular thread) and
the "what if" scenarios that are presented on the list, when much of
the problems that are described are solvable (or at least addressable)
in a real world sense right now.
QT offers clear advantages for developing and deploying information
solutions for Education and Business. Much of the IMS and SCORM
standards that are being adopted can be quickly and easily addressed
with a QuickTime solution. Presently there 100s of millions of dollars
being invested in media solutions that adopt these meta data standards.
QuickTime 6 makes developing for these standards a relative piece of
cake (A Big Birthday Sized piece mind you) compared to other solutions
that are being examined and pursued. Translation: Big strategic
advantage for QT solutions.
With e-learning alone, there is wondrous opportunity for QuickTime
solutions and developers. The Research firm Gartner, Inc. estimates
that by 2005, the e-learning market alone will reach $33.6 billion in
sales, up from just $2.1 billion in 2001, due to a steady increase in
demand from education, government and business. In addition, a recent
survey of 600 major companies by research firm brandon-hall.com found
that 60 percent now offer online training as a component to their
overall training programs, a 12 percent increase from the year before.
I'm not against R and D, free thinking, and exploring "what-if". I am
just concerned that there are too few of us trying to see how our QT
expertise can answer Real World problems for paying customers who need
our help.
</rant>
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